Yes, it’s the return of Friday Fisking. My first target is a chap calling himself William Wallace over at ERV. Some time ago, William left a comment in which he expressed skepticism that ERV data is justifiably used to support common descent. About a week later, he announced that he had made a model based on random insertion, and then asked for some help in creating an equivalent common descent model, with an aside that the results of the random model “doesn’t look good for your side.” This announcement was met with great derision, with calls for William to explain his conclusion. I directly addressed his question about his common descent model, pointing out where his assumption was incorrect. Even so, I remained puzzled as to how he achieved the results he claimed for both models.
Recently, it was brought up in relation to another post about ERVs. Although William refused to give any details about his model, he claimed that his results were unsurprising if you understood that math. He eventually offered to give me details via email. After a series of exchanges, I received enough information to be confident about the basics of his model.